Run Forecast

Command: run-forecast

Inputs

• timeframe – period to forecast (Q1, Q2, FY, rolling-90).
• scenario – base | upside | downside | custom.
• confidence – numeric (0-1) to tune risk weighting.
• drivers – optional overrides for win rates, ASP, capacity, churn, expansion.
• notes – optional context for scenario assumptions.

Workflow

1. Input Gathering – pull pipeline snapshot, bookings actuals, macro assumptions, and overrides.
2. Driver Application – adjust conversion rates, stage weightings, and coverage multipliers per scenario.
3. Model Execution – compute bookings forecast, ARR impact, cash flow pacing, and contribution by segment.
4. Variance Comparison – benchmark vs targets, prior forecast, and budget.
5. Insights & Actions – flag risk areas, required pipeline creation, and mitigation plays.

Outputs

• Scenario forecast table (segment → commit/upside/downside → delta vs goal).
• Driver sheet summarizing assumptions and overrides.
• Action plan for pipeline creation or acceleration.

Agent/Skill Invocations

• forecast-architect – owns methodology and interpretation.
• forecast-modeling skill – provides model templates + sensitivity analysis.
• revops-analyst – validates inputs and risk tags.