Build Forecast Scenarios

Command: build-forecast-scenarios

Inputs

• horizon – timeframe (month, quarter, fiscal_year).
• granularity – cadence for projections (weekly, monthly, cohort).
• confidence – confidence band (70/80/90) for intervals.
• include-renewals – true/false to layer in CS signals.
• drivers – optional JSON/CSV with macro/product/usage adjustments.

Workflow

1. Signal Intake – collect bookings actuals, pipeline, product usage, renewal, and macro drivers.
2. Model Calibration – update conversion rates, seasonality factors, and growth coefficients.
3. Scenario Generation – produce base/upside/downside plus stress tests tied to driver toggles.
4. Variance Commentary – explain changes vs prior forecast and targets.
5. Action Mapping – recommend GTM + finance moves aligned to each scenario.

Outputs

• Forecast workbook (base/upside/downside) with drivers and confidence bands.
• Variance memo explaining deltas vs prior outlook.
• Action register tied to scenarios (investment, enablement, hiring, demand gen).

Agent/Skill Invocations

• revenue-forecasting-analyst – owns modeling + scenario analysis.
• revenue-intelligence-director – crafts executive narrative.
• cohort-analysis skill – benchmarks cohorts to validate assumptions.
• exec-briefing-kit skill – packages summary for leadership/board.