SKILL

Market Scenario Modeler

Toolkit for building TAM/SAM/SOM models, sensitivity analyses, and narrative-ready visuals.

Published by @gtmagents·from gtmagents/gtm-agents·0 agent reads / 30d·0 saves·

Market Scenario Modeler Skill

When to Use

  • Translating research findings into financial models and strategic scenarios.
  • Stress-testing revenue or adoption assumptions for planning cycles.
  • Packaging insights for finance, product, and executive stakeholders.

Framework

  1. Assumption Library – document data sources, CAGR, penetration, pricing, channel mix.
  2. Scenario Matrix – base, upside, downside cases with drivers (pricing, win rate, expansion, macro).
  3. Sensitivity Analysis – tornado charts, Monte Carlo snippets, or sliders for key variables.
  4. Visualization Layer – waterfall, area, and heat maps tying numbers to narratives.
  5. Decision Hooks – highlight trigger points, required investments, and guardrails.

Templates

  • Spreadsheet/notebook skeleton with clearly named inputs/outputs.
  • Slide templates for TAM/SAM/SOM, share shifts, and investment asks.
  • One-pager summary translating scenarios into actions and risks.

Tips

  • Keep assumptions auditable with source links and timestamps.
  • Align with finance on currency, inflation, and exchange assumptions before publishing.
  • Pair with run-market-landscape-study for turnkey modeling assets.

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